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Off the Charts Blog Post: In Case You Missed It…
September 3, 2010
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High-Income People Would Benefit Significantly From Extension of “Middle-Class” Tax Cuts
August 13, 2010
A fact generally overlooked in the debate over whether Congress should extend the high-income Bush tax cuts — i.e. those targeted exclusively at couples making over $250,000 and single individuals making over $200,000 — is that these households will still receive substantial tax cuts if Congress extends the so-called … -
Extension of High-Income Tax Cuts Would Benefit Few Small Businesses; Jobs Tax Credit Would Be Better
August 3, 2010
Proponents of extending President Bush’s 2001 and 2003 tax cuts for people with incomes over $250,000 argue, in part, that allowing them to expire after 2010 would weaken the economy by hurting small businesses. In reality, however, extending the tax cuts would do little for small business because only the top 3 percent of people with … -
The Ryan Budget's Radical Priorities
Revised July 7, 2010
I. Summary The Roadmap for America’s Future, which Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) — the ranking Republican on the House Budget Committee — released in late January, calls for radical policy changes that would result in a massive transfer of resources from the broad majority of Americans to the nation’s … -
Unlimited Estate Tax Exemption For Farm Estates Is Unnecessary and Likely Harmful
June 29, 2010
Proponents of repealing the estate tax have made farmers, along with small business, the face of their cause, driving some policymakers to push for special preferences for farms in estate tax law. One of the most radical of these proposed changes is an unlimited estate tax exemption for farmland, recently introduced by Rep. Mike Thompson … -
Over 3 Million Low-Income Children in Rural Areas Face Cut in Child Tax Credit if Recovery Act Improvement Expires
June 10, 2010
Issued Jointly With Nearly 3.3 million low-income children with working parents in rural areas will lose important tax benefits if Congress does not extend the Child Tax Credit improvements that the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act provided for low-income families, as President Obama has proposed. These … -
Compromise Provision to Narrow “Carried Interest” Tax Loophole Should Not Be Weakened Further
June 9, 2010
A provision in the jobs bill that the House passed on May 28 would partially close a tax loophole that allows investment fund managers to pay taxes on a large part of their income — their “carried interest” — at the 15 percent capital gains tax rate rather than at normal income tax rates of … -
Podcast: How the Health Reform Law Reduces the Deficit, Part 1
May 25, 2010
Paul Van de Water, a Senior Fellow at the Center, discusses how the health reform law saves money for the federal government. Duration: 3:53
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How Health Reform Helps Reduce the Deficit
May 10, 2010
The new health reform law will extend coverage to over 30 million uninsured Americans and provide important consumer protections to tens of millions of insured Americans whose coverage may have critical gaps. These coverage expansions will be more than paid for by specific reductions in spending for Medicare, Medicaid, and other federal … -
Ryan’s Response to Center’s Analysis of “Roadmap” Is Off Base
Revised May 6, 2010
We are quite disappointed that, in responding to our analysis[1] of his budget plan, Rep. Paul Ryan accuses[2] the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities of “partisan demagoguery” as well as “factual errors and misleading statements.” Quite the contrary, we applied the same rigorous analytical process to Rep. Ryan’s Roadmap for America’s … -
Podcast: Federal Income Taxes at Historic Low
April 15, 2010
Chuck Marr, the Center’s Director of Federal Tax Policy, discusses how the levels of federal income taxes on middle-income families have changed over time.
Duration: 4:41
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Federal Income Taxes on Middle-Income Families at Historically Low Levels
April 14, 2010
Middle-income Americans are now paying federal taxes at or near historically low levels, according to the latest available data. That’s true whether it comes to their federal income taxes or their total federal taxes. Income taxes: A family of four in the exact middle of the income spectrum will pay only 4.6 percent of its income in federal income taxes this year, … -
Podcast: Tax Trends for the Top 400 Taxpayers
April 13, 2010
Trends in income and taxes for the highest-income taxpayers is discussed by Chuck Marr, Director of Federal Tax Policy at the Center.
Duration: 4:08
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High-Income Tax Cuts Should Expire on Schedule
April 1, 2010
Allowing the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts for couples making over $250,000 (and singles over $200,000) to expire on schedule on December 31 represents the best course of action for the budget and the economy. Extending those tax cuts for one or two years, as some have proposed, would be highly ill-advised. It would make it much more likely that … -
Tax Foundation Figures Do Not Represent Typical Households’ Taxes
March 30, 2010
Executive Summary Each year, the Tax Foundation releases a report projecting “Tax Freedom Day,” which it describes as the day when Americans will have “earned enough money to pay this year’s tax obligations at the federal, state, and local levels.”[1] The Tax Foundation’s “Tax Freedom Day” … -
Student Loan Reform in Health Bill Would Save More Than $60 Billion and Invest in Access to College
March 19, 2010
The health reform legislation heading for a vote in Congress within the next few days includes major reforms to the student loan system that would save more than $60 billion over ten years and invest more in educational opportunity for millions of aspiring students. Under the proposal, the federal government — which now pays banks … -
Media Briefing: The Ryan Budget’s Radical Priorities
March 10, 2010
Robert Greenstein and Paul Van de Water discuss the radical priorities in Rep. Paul Ryan’s budget proposal in a media call on March 10, 2010.
Duration: 21:34
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Changes in Medicare Tax on High-Income People Represent Sound Additions to Health Reform
March 4, 2010
The President’s health reform plan would raise the Medicare tax rate for single filers with incomes over $200,000 and married filers with incomes over $250,000 — a provision that was included in the Senate-passed health bill — and also would extend this tax to the unearned income these affluent households receive such as income from capital gains, … -
Tax Rate for Richest 400 Taxpayers Plummeted in Recent Decades, Even as Their Pre-Tax Incomes Skyrocketed
February 23, 2010
The effective federal income tax rate for the 400 taxpayers with the very highest incomes has declined by nearly half over the past two decades, even as their pre-tax incomes have grown five times larger, new IRS data show.[1] The top 400 households paid 16.6 percent of their income in federal individual income taxes in 2007, down from 30 … -
Statement: Robert Greenstein, Executive Director, on the President's Health Reform Proposal
February 23, 2010
The President’s proposal represents the last hope, perhaps for years to come, to enact comprehensive reforms that extend coverage to over 30 million uninsured Americans, provide important consumer protections to tens of millions of insured Americans whose coverage may have critical gaps, … -
Failure to Extend Improvements in Child Tax Credit Would Harm Millions of Low-Income Working Families
February 16, 2010
The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA) expanded the child tax credit to reach many low-income working families who previously were excluded from it and boosted the credit for many more such families who were receiving only a fraction of the full credit. This action helped millions of children whose parents are child care … -
Oregon Voters' Approval of Tax Increase Noteworthy as Federal Tax Debate Opens
February 16, 2010
Oregonians’ decisive vote last month to raise taxes on households making over $250,000 calls into question the conventional wisdom that tax-increase proposals are politically untenable regardless of their merit on economic, budgetary, and equity grounds. This has important implications for Congress, which must decide … -
Allowing High-Income Tax Cuts to Expire on Schedule Would Be Sound Economic and Fiscal Policy
Updated February 1, 2010
In his State of the Union address, President Obama called for allowing the Bush-era tax cuts for high-income Americans to expire on schedule at the end of the year. Critics already are attacking this proposal as an unwarranted tax increase that would harm the weak economy and kill large numbers of jobs, especially among small … -
Contrary to Claims, Allowing Estate Tax to Expire Would Make Family Farms and Small Businesses Worse off Overall
December 17, 2009
While estate-tax opponents have held up family-owned farms and small businesses as “poster children” for the benefits of repealing the tax, such estates would be worse off, on balance, if Congress allows estate tax repeal and related tax changes to take effect on January 1, as now seems likely. The estate tax is irrelevant to the … -
Statement: Chuck Marr, Director of Federal Tax Policy, on the Senate Debate on the Federal Estate Tax
December 16, 2009
Today’s Senate debate over whether to extend the federal estate tax or let it expire for next year is a study in irony. Under current law, the estate tax, which has been reduced very significantly since 2001 and now only affects the biggest 1 of every 500 estates in America, will expire next … -
With Fully Offset Tax Extender Bill, House Advances Important Fiscal Principle; Senate Should Follow
December 9, 2009
The House tax extender bill represents a step forward in the important effort to reinstate a pay-as-you-go norm to federal legislation — a norm that played a key role in enabling the White House and Congress to turn large deficits into substantial surpluses in the 1990s The nation is on an unsustainable fiscal path, and … -
House Health Bill’s High-Income Surcharge is Sound and Well Targeted
Updated November 23, 2009
A 5.4 percent surcharge on couples with incomes over $1 million, a key financing feature of the House health reform bill, is sound and well targeted. It would affect just a fraction of 1 percent of taxpayers, a group whose incomes have soared and tax burdens have fallen in recent years, and would have only a modest impact on small businesses. … -
Increasing Medicare Tax on High-Wage Earners Could Help Pay for Health Reform and Strengthen Medicare’s Finances
November 13, 2009
Increasing the Medicare payroll tax on high-wage earners would represent a sound and well-targeted way of paying for health reform. It would also improve the solvency of Medicare’s Hospital Insurance (HI) trust fund and thereby strengthen this critical program, which provides health coverage for 46 million seniors and persons with disabilities. … -
Policy Basics: The Child Tax Credit
November 11, 2009
The Child Tax Credit, designed to help offset the cost of raising children, is worth up to $1,000 per child. Taxpayers eligible for the credit subtract it from the total amount of federal income taxes they would otherwise owe. For example, if a couple with two children would owe $5,000 in … -
Coalition Makes Flawed Arguments Against Proposal to Help Finance Health Reform by Maintaining Current Value of Itemized Deductions for Wealthy Households
Revised October 13, 2009
A coalition consisting of several trade associations for foundations and some nonprofit organizations along with a number of large charities has raised objections to a proposal that would help finance improved health coverage for low- and moderate-income people by maintaining the value of itemized deductions for wealthy Americans at its current … -
House Health Bill’s High-Income Surcharge: A Reasonable Approach
Revised July 30, 2009
Reforming the health care system to provide universal health coverage is an urgent priority. But, facing huge projected budget deficits that have the nation on an unsustainable fiscal path, the White House and Congress must enact a health reform plan that is also fully financed and that reduces the growth rate of health care … -
Curbing Flexible Spending Accounts Could Help Pay For Health Care Reform
Revised June 10, 2009
Congress should consider scaling back or eliminating health care flexible spending accounts (FSAs) [1] as part of its effort to pay for health care reform. This paper, which is part of a series of papers on proposals to help pay for health reform, outlines several ways in which Congress could curtail FSAs. FSAs are designed to allow employees to pay … -
Maintaining Current Value of Itemized Deductions For High-Income Taxpayers Could Help Pay For Health Care Reform
June 10, 2009
If Congress rejects the President’s proposal to help pay for health care reform by limiting the value of itemized deductions for high-income filers, it should at least prevent those subsidies from expanding in 2011, as they would under current law. Simply keeping the value of itemized deductions for filers in the top two brackets at … -
Limiting the Tax Exclusion for Employer-Sponsored Insurance Can Help Pay for Health Reform
Revised June 4, 2009
Limiting the tax exclusion for employer-sponsored health insurance could provide significant revenues for health reform without eroding employer-sponsored insurance or causing other undesirable side effects — if the cap and the rest of the health reform legislation are well designed and contain several key features that past proposals have lacked. … -
Video: Robert Greenstein Discusses the President's Budget on Washington Journal
May 8, 2009
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A Brief Analysis of the Congressional Budget Plan
May 4, 2009
The budget resolution Congress adopted last week for fiscal year 2010[1] largely reflects the proposals in the preliminary budget President Obama submitted to Congress in February. Under the budget resolution: Deficits will be very high by historical standards in the next several years … -
Federal Tax Burdens for Most Near Their Lowest Levels in Decades
Updated April 14, 2009
With April 15 approaching and many people focusing on what they owe in taxes, Americans may be surprised to learn that federal tax burdens for most income groups, particularly middle-income households, are near their lowest levels in decades — and were low by historical standards even before the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts. Most income … -
House Republican Budget Would Aid Wealthy Individuals and Corporations, Cut Public Services, Slow Economic Recovery
April 2, 2009
The House Republican budget, introduced April 1 by Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI), calls for a massive transfer of resources from the broad majority of Americans to the nation’s wealthiest individuals and corporations.[1] It provides the richest households with a new round of very costly tax reductions by extending the Bush high-income tax cuts and adding another set of tax cuts that … -
An Analysis of the House and Senate Budget Plans
April 1, 2009
The congressional budget resolutions that the House and Senate are considering this week are essentially consistent with the budget blueprint that President Obama submitted to the Congress in February.[1] The President’s budget and the House and Senate plans (which their … -
Proposal to Cap Deductions for High-Income Households Would Reduce Charitable Contributions by Only 1.9 Percent
Revised March 31, 2009
The President’s 2010 budget proposes to limit the tax subsidy for deductible expenses of the most affluent Americans and to use the additional revenue to help finance national health reform, including universal coverage. This proposal has been attacked on the grounds that it would lead to substantial reductions in charitable contributions and hit … -
Tax Foundation Figures Do Not Represent Typical Households’ Tax Burdens
March 31, 2009
Each year, the Tax Foundation releases a report projecting “Tax Freedom Day,” which it describes as the day when Americans will have “earned enough money to pay this year’s tax obligations at the federal, state, and local levels.” [1] The Tax Foundation’s “Tax … -
High-Income Households Would Face Lower Tax Burden under Obama Budget than In Clinton Years, When Economy Performed Well
March 26, 2009
Despite claims that President Obama would impose a massive, damaging tax increase on wealthy Americans, the top 1 percent of Americans would actually pay a slightly smaller share of their income in federal taxes under the President’s proposals than during the Clinton Administration, when the economy grew strongly. Specifically, the top … -
History Contradicts Claim That President’s Budget Would Harm Small Business Job Creation
March 26, 2009
Critics have claimed that President Obama’s proposal to roll back tax cuts for families with incomes above $250,000 would kill job growth in the small business sector. But under the Clinton Administration, when the tax treatment of high-income families was very similar to what President Obama has proposed, small businesses … -
Testimony: Robert Greenstein on Tax Proposals in the President's Budget before the Senate Committee on Finance
March 26, 2009
I appreciate the invitation to appear before the Committee today. I am Robert Greenstein, Executive Director of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a policy institute that focuses on fiscal policy issues and issues affecting low- and moderate-income families. This testimony makes the following points: As the Congressional … -
Limiting Itemized Deductions for Upper-Income Taxpayers Would Have Little Effect on Small Business, Charities, Housing
March 12, 2009
Despite persistent claims to the contrary, the President’s proposal to cap the value of itemized deductions at 28 percent would have only small effects on small business, charitable giving, and homeownership. That’s because the proposal, which would save $318 billion over the next ten years to help finance health care reform, would affect only those tax … -
Policy Basics: The 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts
March 5, 2009
The biggest changes in tax policy enacted under President George W. Bush were the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts, often referred to as the “Bush tax cuts” but formally named the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2001 and the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of … -
Podcast: Examining the Administration's 2010 Budget
February 27, 2009
This podcast discusses the President’s budget outline for fiscal year 2010.
Robert Greenstein discusses the priorities in the budget, as well as specific initiatives in major areas such as health care, taxes, and climate change. They also examine the budget’s implications for the federal deficit and debt and fiscal responsibility, and evaluate whether the budget’s numbers are honest or rely on gimmicks.
Duration: 20:54
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Tax Aid in Recovery Package Would Reach Large Numbers of Workers in Every State
Updated February 26, 2009
Tax credits in the economic recovery package provide tax relief to most workers. The centerpiece of the tax relief is a new Making Work Pay Credit of up to $400 per worker. The credit phases in at the same rate as Social Security taxes and is available to all workers (except those claimed as another taxpayer's dependent) earning up to $95,000 and … -
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009: State-By-State Estimates of Key Provisions Affecting Low- and Moderate-Income Individuals
Updated February 25, 2009
The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 is designed to boost employment and the economy. It contains a number of spending and tax measures crafted to inject more aggregate demand into the sagging economy. This paper provides state-by-state estimates for a number of the major spending and tax provisions that will affect low- and … -
New Analysis Shows "Tax Expenditures" Overall Are Costly and Regressive
February 23, 2009
“Tax expenditures” for individuals totaled about $760.5 billion in 2007, topping what the federal government spent on either national defense or all non-defense discretionary programs, a new analysis by the Urban Institute-Brookings Institution Tax Policy Center (TPC) shows.[1] In most cases, these tax expenditures are also regressive — that is, they benefit … -
Recovery Agreement Temporarily Expands Child Tax Credit for Large Numbers of Children in Every State
February 12, 2009
The economic recovery plan that a congressional conference committee has approved will expand the Child Tax Credit for 13 million children in low-income working families. Under the agreement, the child credit will reach 2.9 million new children and will provide another 10 million children with a larger credit than they would have received … -
Senate Changes Make Recovery Package Less Effective
February 10, 2009
The Senate today passed a version of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (H.R. 1) that makes a number of changes in the House-passed bill. Contrary to their proponents' claim, these changes — in Senate committees and on the floor last week, as well as by a group of Senators led by Ben Nelson and Susan Collins — have reduced … -
The High Cost of Estate Tax Repeal
Revised January 28, 2009
Making permanent the repeal of the estate tax after 2010 — repeatedly proposed by President Bush— would add almost $1.3 trillion to the deficit between fiscal years 2012 and 2021, the first ten years in which the full costs of extending repeal would be reflected in the budget. This cost includes $1 trillion of lost revenues … -
Child Tax Credit Expansion Passed by Congress Will Help 13 Million Children
Updated December 5, 2008
A recently enacted Child Tax Credit provision will benefit 12.9 million children — 2.4 million who will become newly eligible for the benefit and 10.5 million who will see their credit increased because of it — according to the Urban Institute-Brookings Institution Tax Policy Center. These almost 13 million children come from families with parents who … -
How Projected Surpluses Became Deficits
September 12, 2008
The federal budget is projected to run a $546 billion deficit in 2009, compared with the $710 billion surplus that budget experts projected for 2009 back when President Bush took office nearly eight years ago. This $1.3 trillion deterioration in the nation’s fiscal finances for 2009 can be seen by comparing estimates that the … -
How Robust Was the 2001-2007 Economic Expansion?
Updated August 29, 2008
Proponents of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts often argue that the economic and employment growth of the past several years establishes that these tax cuts “worked” and had strong beneficial effects. More recently, some have also argued that, with growth slowing, new tax cuts are needed and would reinvigorate the economy. It now appears likely that the economic expansion that … -
Only a Few of the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cut Provisions Benefit Families with Modest Incomes: But a Superficial Treasury Analysis Obscures this Fact
August 7, 2008
A recent Treasury Department release, “Tax Relief in 2001 Through 2011,” shows the reduction in taxes that four hypothetical families with modest incomes are receiving as a result of “legislation enacted during the President’s term in office.”[1] The implication of the release is that the 2001 and 2003 … -
Smaller Deficit Estimate No Surprise: New OMB Estimates Do Not Support Claims About Tax Cuts
Revised July 13, 2008
The Office of Management and Budget today released a report estimating that revenues for the current fiscal year will be higher, and the deficit lower, than the administration and the Congressional Budget Office projected five months ago. OMB now estimates that the deficit for fiscal year 2007 will be $205 billion, down from the $244 billion estimate in the President’s budget in … -
House-Passed Housing Tax Package Improves Significantly on Senate Version: But Addressing the Foreclosure Crisis Will Require Other Measures
Revised June 17, 2008
On April 10, the Senate passed a bill comprised largely of housing-related tax cuts. [1] Six weeks later, the House passed its own housing legislation including its own package of housing-related tax measures. Some of the provisions in House-passed housing tax package have merit, and the House-passed tax package represents a … -
Claims That a Modest Tax Surcharge on Millionaires Would Damage Small Businesses and the Economy Do Not Withstand Scrutiny
Revised May 22, 2008
Supplemental appropriations legislation that the House of Representatives approved last week (H.R. 2642) would impose a modest income tax surcharge on couples with adjusted gross income above $1 million (and singles with AGI above $500,000) to fund an expansion of higher education benefits for veterans.[1] The surcharge would be … -
Improving the Refundable Child Tax Credit
Revised May 19, 2008
Because of their potential impact in reducing child poverty and hardship, proposals to improve the refundable Child Tax Credit have garnered significant bipartisan support. In the Senate, Olympia Snowe (R-ME) and Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) have introduced legislation that would begin to address key flaws in the credit's structure. In … -
Senate Housing Legislation Highly Disappointing: Less Than One-Fourth of Cost of Senate Bill Goes for Provisions That Will Actually Help Address the Foreclosure Crisis
Revised May 12, 2008
On April 10, the Senate passed legislation that its supporters say will help struggling families hold on to their homes and assist the communities hit hardest by the foreclosure crisis. Measures that would help achieve these goals, however, account for less than one-fourth of the bill’s cost. The remainder of the cost comes … -
Tax Cuts: Myths and Realities
Updated May 9, 2008
Since 2001, the Administration and Congress have enacted a wide array of tax cuts, including reductions in individual income tax rates, repeal of the estate tax, and reductions in capital gains and dividend taxes. Nearly all of these tax cuts are scheduled to expire by the end of 2010. Making them permanent would cost about $4.4 trillion over the next decade (when the cost of … -
Joint Tax Committee Estimate Shows That Tax Gimmick Being Designed To Evade Senate Budget Rules Would Increase Long-Term Deficits
Revised April 26, 2008
House and Senate conferees negotiating an agreement on the tax reconciliation bill are widely reported to have decided to use a change in Roth IRAs to help “offset” the cost of capital gains and dividend tax cuts in years after 2010. If the tax reconciliation bill increases the deficit after 2010, it would violate a Senate rule that a … -
Tax Foundation Figures Do Not Represent Typical Households' Tax Burdens: Figures May Mislead Policymakers, Journalists, and the Public
April 23, 2008
Each year, the Tax Foundation releases a report projecting “Tax Freedom Day,” which it describes as the day when Americans will have “earned enough money to pay this year’s tax obligations at the federal, state, and local levels.”[1] The Tax Foundation’s “Tax Freedom Day” report is plagued by two major problems. First, its … -
Long-Term Social Security Shortfall Smaller Than Cost of Extending Tax Cuts for Top 1 Percent
March 31, 2008
The Social Security trustees’ report issued this week estimates that Social Security faces a total shortfall over the next 75 years of 0.56 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This is slightly less than the estimated cost over that same period of extending the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts just for the top 1 percent of … -
Extending the President's Tax Cuts and AMT Relief Would Cost $4.4 Trillion Through 2018
Revised March 28, 2008
President Bush continues to urge that the tax cuts enacted in 2001 and 2003 be made permanent. Despite the severe long-term budget shortfalls the nation faces, the Administration has not proposed measures to offset the cost of extending these tax cuts. Nor has it proposed measures to pay for extending relief from the … -
The Skewed Benefits of the Tax Cuts: With the Tax Cuts Extended, Top 1 Percent of Households Would Receive Almost $1.2 Trillion in Tax Benefits Over the Next Decade
Revised March 28, 2008
Under current law, nearly all provisions of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts are scheduled to expire at the end of 2010. The President’s budget calls for making these tax cuts permanent. The enacted tax cuts and their extension carry a high cost. This raises the question: how would the large sums involved be … -
Capital Gains Tax Cuts Slashed Taxes of Top 400, While Their Incomes SoaredCapital Gains Tax Cuts Slashed Taxes of Top 400, While Their Incomes Soared
March 27, 2008
New Internal Revenue Service (IRS) data show that the 400 U.S. taxpayers with the very highest incomes pay only 18 percent of their income, on average, in federal individual income taxes. The data, published by the Wall Street Journal and the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, provide detailed income and tax information for the 400 tax filers with the highest adjusted gross incomes (AGI) in … -
Have the 2001 and 2003 Tax Cuts Made the Tax Code More Progressive?
March 11, 2008
Supporters of extending the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts claim that these tax cuts’ benefits have been broadly and fairly distributed. Some argue that the tax cuts have actually made the tax system more progressive, pointing to Congressional Budget Office (CBO) data showing that the share of total federal … -
Claim That Congressional Budget Plans Call for "Largest Tax Increase in History" is Inaccurate
March 7, 2008
Some are claiming that the budget plans adopted this week by the House and Senate Budget Committees — the full House and Senate are scheduled to consider their respective committee’s plan next week — would constitute “the largest tax increase in history.” This … -
Fact Sheet: The “Mother of All Distortions” - Attacks on Rangel AMT Plan Not Based On Reality
February 13, 2008
Republican congressional leaders have sharply attacked House Ways and Means Chairman Rangel’s proposal to replace the Alternative Minimum Tax with a tax surcharge for very-high-income households as a massive tax increase that would seriously damage, even “doom,” the economy. In fact, however, the Rangel plan … -
The Rangel AMT Proposal Versus Unpaid-For Repeal of the AMT: Which Is Better Tax Reform?
February 13, 2008
Last fall, House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Charles Rangel introduced major tax legislation (H.R. 3970) that would repeal the Alternative Minimum Tax and finance repeal by imposing an income tax surcharge on high-income households. The package also includes expansions of the Earned Income Tax Credit, refundable Child … -
The Dubious Priorities of the President's FY 2009 Budget
Revised February 7, 2008
The President’s budget would provide more tax cuts heavily skewed to the most well-off while cutting vital services for low- and moderate-income Americans, generating large deficits, and increasing the strain on states already confronting budget problems as a result of the economic downturn. The budget … -
Senate Rebate Proposal Targets More Funds to Low-Income Households, Boosting Stimulus Impact: Lifting Income Cap Reduces Bang-for-the-Buck, But Changes Are an Improvement Overall
Revised February 1, 2008
The stimulus legislation that was adopted by the Senate Finance Committee on Wednesday would make several changes to the House-passed stimulus package, including significant changes to the tax rebate proposal that on balance would make the rebate more effective as stimulus. While retaining the House rebate’s basic structure, the Finance … -
Senate Action Will Not Delay Rebates
January 31, 2008
The facts are clear: Senate action on the stimulus package will not delay the rebates by a single day. The earliest that the IRS can begin to send out rebates is mid-May. No matter how fast Congress enacts the stimulus package, the IRS cannot start issuing the rebates any sooner because it must first process the 2007 … -
President's Expected Push to Make Tax Cuts Permanent is Irresponsible Fiscal and Economic Policy
January 28, 2008
In his State of the Union address this evening, President Bush is expected to renew his push to make his signature tax cuts permanent. In recent weeks, Administration officials have offered three major arguments for this policy — (1) the tax cuts yielded strong economic growth over the past few years, (2) extending them … -
An Analysis Of The Rebate Proposal In The Announced Stimulus Deal
January 25, 2008
The centerpiece of the stimulus deal announced yesterday by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, House Minority Leader John Boehner, and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is a proposal to send rebate checks to 117 million U.S. households. The structure of the proposed rebate, while not ideal from a stimulus standpoint, is far superior to the … -
Tax Policy Center Estimates Show Fewer Than 60 Percent of Working Households Would Benefit In Full From President’s Proposed Rebate
January 22, 2008
The centerpiece of the President’s economic stimulus proposal reportedly is a tax rebate that would be provided by temporarily reducing the 10 percent income tax rate to zero. The plan has been described as featuring a rebate of $800 for individuals and $1,600 for couples. This description, however, is misleading. Only those … -
Another Misdiagnosis: Marginal Rate Reductions and Extensions of Tax Cuts Expiring in 2010 Not the Right Medicine for the Economy’s Current Ills
January 15, 2008
Six months ago, the economy was growing steadily, and the President gave an address in which he claimed that the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts had brought about strong economic growth and should be made permanent to ensure strong growth over the long run.[1] Prominent conservatives recommended a corporate rate cut to make U.S. businesses … -
The Four Pieces of Effective Fiscal Stimulus
January 14, 2008
Recent evidence that the economy has weakened significantly has sparked discussion of possible fiscal stimulus measures. To be effective, such measures must be timely, targeted, and temporary. Timely measures are those that, once triggered, stimulate new spending quickly so that … -
Principles for Fiscal Stimulus Economic Policy in a Weakening Economy
Revised January 11, 2008
The weak December jobs report that the Labor Department issued January 4 is the latest evidence the economy has weakened significantly and is now growing quite slowly. A number of economists continue to believe this slow growth will continue into 2008, but that the economy will avoid slipping into a recession.[1] Some … -
Myths and Realities About Changing the Tax Treatment of Private Equity Fund Managers
November 8, 2007
Economists across the political system generally concur that eliminating the tax break for “carried interest” income, a form of compensation received by private equity fund managers, would improve the equity and efficiency of the tax system.[1] The tax code is more efficient when it creates a level playing field. The fact that carried interest income is taxed at the … -
House AMT "Patch" Bill is Fiscally Responsible
November 7, 2007
Later this week, the House of Representatives is expected to vote on legislation that would “patch” the Alternative Minimum Tax for 2007 (H.R. 3996). This analysis highlights three praiseworthy features of the tax package, which was adopted by the Ways and Means Committee November 1. The cost of the package is fully offset. Its adoption by the … -
Ways and Means Committee Chairman Charles Rangel's Proposed Expansion of the EITC for Childless Workers
October 25, 2007
The tax reform plan released today by Ways and Means Committee Chairman Charles Rangel includes a sizable increase in the component of the Earned Income Tax Credit available to low-income working adults who are not raising minor children. Senators Barack Obama, Evan Bayh, and John Kerry and Representatives Bill Pascrell, John Yarmuth, and Keith … -
Ensign Amendment Would Undercut Immigration Bill Goals by Imposing Unaffordable Tax Burdens on Many Immigrants
Revised September 28, 2007
An amendment to the Senate immigration bill filed by Senator John Ensign (R-NV) would prevent undocumented workers who are paying back taxes as part of legalizing their status from claiming the tax credits available to all other tax filers. It would also deny these workers any tax refunds the IRS might owe them because of overwithholding. As a result, undocumented workers seeking to … -
Higher Taxes on Carried Interest Would Be Borne By Investment Fund Managers
September 19, 2007
In the past few weeks, the Senate Finance and the House Ways and Means Committee have both held hearings investigating the tax treatment of carried interest, a form of compensation prevalent in the private equity industry. As part of their contractual arrangement with investors, the managers of a private equity fund typically … -
The Internet Tax Freedom Act and the "Digital Divide"
September 10, 2007
Congress is again considering whether to make the “Internet Tax Freedom Act” (ITFA) permanent. Enacted in 1998 and temporarily renewed in 2001 and 2004, ITFA banned new state and local taxes on “Internet access” services. States and localities were barred from imposing their sales taxes on the typical $10 to $50 monthly fee … -
Making the “Internet Tax Freedom Act” Permanent Could Lead to a Substantial Revenue Loss for States and Localities
Revised August 30, 2007
On May 23 and July 26, 2007, the Senate Commerce Committee and the Subcommittee on Commercial and Administrative Law of the House Judiciary Committee, respectively, held hearings on the “Internet Tax Freedom Act” (ITFA). ITFA was enacted in 1998 and renewed in 2001 and 2004. The law generally bars state and local taxation … -
Historical Averages Not a Meaningful Benchmark for Future Revenues
August 22, 2007
The “Mid-Session Review” that the Office of Management and Budget issued last month projects that revenues will be slightly above their 30-year average in 2007, measured as a share of the economy. The Administration and many of its supporters have cited this fact as evidence that current tax policies are generating an … -
Administration’s Proposed Tax Deduction for Health Insurance Seriously Flawed
July 31, 2007
In an attempt to revive its proposal to establish a new standard tax deduction for the purchase of health insurance, the Administration has injected the proposal into the congressional debate over renewing and strengthening the State Children’s Health Insurance Program (SCHIP). The Administration has threatened to veto the … -
An Analysis of the "Carried Interest" Controversy
July 31, 2007
This week, the Senate Finance Committee is scheduled to hold a second hearing on the tax treatment of “carried interest.” A carried interest is a right to receive a specified share (often 20 percent) of the profits ultimately earned by an investment fund without contributing a corresponding share of the fund’s financial capital. It is part of the standard … -
Would Tax Incentives Be an Effective Way to Expand Health Coverage for Low-Income Children and Families?
July 31, 2007
In recent weeks, the Administration has threatened to veto legislation in Congress that would reauthorize the SCHIP program and extend health coverage to several million uninsured children. As an alternative, the Administration has touted the virtues of the private insurance market and attempted to revive consideration of its proposal to … -
The Effects of the Capital Gains and Dividend Tax Cuts On the Economy and Revenues
Revised July 12, 2007
With the fourth anniversary of the 2003 capital gains and dividend tax cuts just past and the Office of Management and Budget’s Mid-Session Review released today, supporters of making these tax cuts permanent are reiterating their claim that the tax cuts boosted the economy and increased federal revenues. For example, a release from the Senate Republican Policy Committee contends … -
Analysis of Sessions Amendment to Deny the EITC to People Working Here Legally as a Result of the Senate Immigration Bill (Amendment # 1234)
Revised June 7, 2007
The Senate yesterday adopted an amendment to the Senate immigration bill offered by Senator Jeff Sessions (R-AL). Undocumented immigrants already are ineligible for the EITC. The Sessions amendment would deny this important tax credit to low-income workers who have legal status.[1] This approach is inequitable and unwise. It … -
Analysis of Sessions Amendment to Deny the Eitc to Many Legal Permanent Residents (Amendment # 1235)
June 6, 2007
Senator Sessions has filed an amendment to the Senate immigration bill that would deny the Earned Income Tax Credit to hundreds of thousands of taxpayers already working in the country legally. Under the amendment, legal permanent residents — often called “green card” holders — would be ineligible for the EITC for the … -
A Significant Number of Students in Every State Are Shut Out of Federal Higher Education Tax Credits
June 1, 2007
As early as next week, the Senate Finance Committee is expected to vote on legislation restructuring the higher education tax credits. The federal tax code includes two tax credits that offset tuition costs for students enrolled in higher education: the Hope Credit, worth up to $1,650, and the Lifetime Learning Credit, worth up … -
Making Higher Education Tax Credits More Available To Low- And Moderate-Income Students: How and Why
May 10, 2007
Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus has indicated that his committee will soon mark up education tax incentives. In addressing this issue, the Finance Committee should start by considering how to improve the existing tax credits for higher education. In particular, it should consider reforms that … -
Alternative Approaches to AMT Reform
Revised April 30, 2007
The Subcommittee on Select Revenue Measures of the House Ways and Means Committee recently held hearings on the Alternative Minimum Tax, and Subcommittee Chairman Richard Neal has said he is developing a proposal for permanent, revenue-neutral AMT reform. According to news accounts, the proposal will take the form of an AMT … -
What the 2007 Trustees' Report Shows about Social Security
April 24, 2007
Executive Summary On April 23, the Social Security Board of Trustees released the 67th annual report on the program’s financial and actuarial status. The report projects that Social Security’s trust fund reserves will be exhausted in 2041, one year later than in last year’s projection. In 2041, Social Security will be …






